{"product_id":"the-black-swan-the-impact-of-the-highly-improbable-paperback-second-edition-by-nassim-nicholas-taleb","title":"The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback) Second Edition by Nassim Nicholas Taleb","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cmeta charset=\"utf-8\"\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Black Swan\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003eis a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eFooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game,\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003eand\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Bed of Procrustes\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003e.\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eA black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9\/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eWhy do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eFor years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eElegant, startling, and universal in its applications, \u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Black Swan\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. \u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Black Swan\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e is a landmark book—itself a black swan.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003ePraise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“The most prophetic voice of all.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003e—GQ\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003ePraise for\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Black Swan\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“[A book] that altered modern thinking.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003e—\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Times\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003e\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e(London)\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“A masterpiece.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003e—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eWired,\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003eauthor of\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003e\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003eThe Long Tail\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“Idiosyncratically brilliant.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003e—Niall Ferguson,\u003cspan\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eLos Angeles Times\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Black Swan\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e changed my view of how the world works.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003e—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003e—The Wall Street Journal\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003e—\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003eFinancial Times\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“Engaging . . . \u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-italic\"\u003eThe Black Swan\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold a-text-italic\"\u003e—The New York Times Book Review\u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Ingram","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":48170418307313,"sku":null,"price":19.99,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0305\/9757\/8890\/files\/blackswan.jpg?v=1778703289","url":"https:\/\/shopsouthandpine.com\/products\/the-black-swan-the-impact-of-the-highly-improbable-paperback-second-edition-by-nassim-nicholas-taleb","provider":"South \u0026 Pine and Blue Apple Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}